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| Name | Monsoon 2022: Predictions, Analysis, and Outlook |
| Video Uploader | Video From Weather and Climate |
| Upload Date | This Video Uploaded At 14-04-2022 00:30:08 |
| Video Discription | Based on our detailed analysis, we predict Monsoon 2022 performance to be within 94% to 106% with a mean of 100%. Our model error is +/- 6%, which may seem a little higher, but there is an explanation for this. Monsoon predictions at this time of the year depends primarily on conditions in Pacific Ocean, Indian Ocean, and the northward movement of jet stream. Looking at all the drivers, our team feels that weak to moderate LA NINA conditions are likely to continue until July 2022 along with NEUTRAL IOD. After July, most likely neutral ENSO and neutral IOD or weak negative IOD (not sure at the moment). |
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